Südtirol 3-1 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 31 Aug 2025

Südtirol
3-1 HT 3-0
Sampdoria
📅31/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Südtirol vs Sampdoria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.58
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.35
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
10%
4.91
X/2
16%
6.3
X/X
12%
3.77
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
11%
4.91
2/X EV+ ✗
13%
13.75
Value flag · 2/X at 13.75 — our 13% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.9pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Südtirol v Sampdoria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Südtirol EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.21/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.31
-1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
20.6 Crosses 19.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8

Südtirol vs Sampdoria Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Südtirol
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Sampdoria
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.06 xG 0.93
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
315 Passes 402
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.02.2025 Südtirol Südtirol 2-1 HT 1-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
21.09.2024 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-0 HT 1-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
13.04.2024 Sampdoria Sampdoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
28.10.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 3-1 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
14.08.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-1 HT 1-1 Südtirol Südtirol İTK

Südtirol 3-1 Sampdoria — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Südtirol
3-1
AWAY Sampdoria
1.58 xG 0.94
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
133 Passes 358
56% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Südtirol vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Südtirol got the better of Sampdoria 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Südtirol found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Südtirol had 34% of the ball to Sampdoria's 66%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 1.58 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Südtirol had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Südtirol and 0.80 for Sampdoria.

What was the final score of Südtirol vs Sampdoria?

Südtirol 3-1 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Südtirol win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 37%, draw 31%, Sampdoria 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Südtirol) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Südtirol) ✗ Under 2.5
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