Südtirol 2-1 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.83
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.18
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
13%
5.77
X/2
15%
5.71
X/X
14%
3.53
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
10%
4.1
2/X
8%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.1pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.7pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Südtirol EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.11/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.36
-3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -23%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
236 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
20.2 Crosses 16.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Südtirol
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Sampdoria
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.81 xG 0.90
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
346 Passes 454
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-0 HT 1-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
13.04.2024 Sampdoria Sampdoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
28.10.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 3-1 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
14.08.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-1 HT 1-1 Südtirol Südtirol İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Südtirol
2-1
AWAY Sampdoria
2.04 xG 1.06
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
193 Passes 193
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
33 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 25
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Südtirol vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Südtirol nicked a narrow win over Sampdoria 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Südtirol made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Südtirol had 49% of the ball to Sampdoria's 51%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 2.04 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Südtirol had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Südtirol and 0.75 for Sampdoria.

What was the final score of Südtirol vs Sampdoria?

Südtirol 2-1 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Südtirol win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 37%, draw 29%, Sampdoria 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Südtirol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Südtirol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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