FC Bari 1908 1-1 Cremonese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
51%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.14
6+ Goals
10%
20.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.7
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1
7%
7.32
X/2
21%
4.81
X/X
8%
3.96
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.94
2/X
6%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
30%
-6.8pp
52%
Away Win
44%
+7.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Cremonese EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -2%
1.17/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.03
-2% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
317 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
24.3 Crosses 20.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bari 1908
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cremonese
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.73 xG 1.25
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
234 Passes 418
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Cremonese Cremonese 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
10.08.2024 Cremonese Cremonese 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTK
05.04.2024 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-2 HT 0-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
26.08.2023 Cremonese Cremonese 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
16.02.2018 Cremonese Cremonese 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
19.09.2017 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-0 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
1-1
AWAY Cremonese
0.56 xG 2.02
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
282 Passes 250
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Cremonese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Bari 1908 and Cremonese couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cremonese at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 55% of the ball to Cremonese's 45%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.56 to 2.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 0.67 for Cremonese.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Cremonese?

FC Bari 1908 1-1 Cremonese in the Italy - Serie B on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Cremonese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 26%, draw 23%, Cremonese 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cremonese), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cremonese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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