Sassuolo 2-0 Brescia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.69
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.11
6+ Goals
13%
10.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.11 — our 27% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.84
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.9
X/1
13%
3.98
X/2
7%
12.3
X/X
9%
5.87
2/1
11%
22.1
2/2
7%
10.2
2/X
9%
18.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.8pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Brescia EU Bookmakers 19%
+14% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
2.28/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.42
+87% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
15.4 Crosses 18.5
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Brescia
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.57 xG 1.30
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
556 Passes 287
89% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Brescia Brescia 2-5 HT 1-1 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTB
09.03.2020 Sassuolo Sassuolo 3-0 HT 1-0 Brescia Brescia İTA
18.12.2019 Brescia Brescia 0-2 HT 0-1 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
13.04.2013 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-1 HT 0-1 Brescia Brescia İTB
18.11.2012 Brescia Brescia 1-1 HT 1-1 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTB
27.04.2012 Brescia Brescia 1-2 HT 0-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo
2-0
AWAY Brescia
0.69 xG 1.72
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
327 Passes 462
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 20
6 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sassuolo vs Brescia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo got the better of Brescia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sassuolo as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sassuolo had 42% of the ball to Brescia's 58%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.69 to 1.72 — the balance of chances actually favoured Brescia.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sassuolo had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sassuolo and 0.83 for Brescia.

What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Brescia?

Sassuolo 2-0 Brescia in the Italy - Serie B on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo vs Brescia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo 55%, draw 24%, Brescia 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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