Modena 1-1 Avellino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 31 Aug 2025

Modena
1-1 HT 0-0
Avellino
📅31/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Modena vs Avellino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.3
6+ Goals
10%
22.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
18%
4.52
X/2
8%
7.4
X/X
13%
3.96
2/1
12%
28.5
2/2
11%
6.02
2/X
9%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.2pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Modena v Avellino — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Modena EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Avellino EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.18/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.92
-2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 79%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
18.5 Crosses 24.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Modena vs Avellino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Modena
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Avellino
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
The Meetings
23.01.2016 Modena Modena 1-1 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTB
12.09.2015 Avellino Avellino 2-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
02.04.2015 Avellino Avellino 1-0 HT 1-0 Modena Modena İTB
08.11.2014 Modena Modena 1-2 HT 0-2 Avellino Avellino İTB
17.05.2014 Modena Modena 1-0 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTB
22.12.2013 Avellino Avellino 2-1 HT 1-0 Modena Modena İTB

Modena 1-1 Avellino — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Modena
1-1
AWAY Avellino
1.42 xG 0.26
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
335 Passes 146
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
45 Box Touches 8
43 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Modena vs Avellino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modena and Avellino shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Modena at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Modena had 67% of the ball to Avellino's 33%, shots finished 22-3, expected goals 1.42 to 0.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avellino led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Modena and 1.33 for Avellino.

What was the final score of Modena vs Avellino?

Modena 1-1 Avellino in the Italy - Serie B on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Modena vs Avellino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Modena 47%, draw 28%, Avellino 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Modena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Modena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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