Al Wahda 1-1 Ajman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League Cup, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
18%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.28
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.21
6+ Goals
6%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 30% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
54%
+6.2pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.7pp
18%
Away Win
20%
-2.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.6pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wahda EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajman EU Bookmakers 23%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
2.73/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.49
+61% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -36%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
322 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
44.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
22.0 Crosses 14.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wahda
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Ajman
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.34 xG 1.69
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
333 Passes 311
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2025 Ajman Ajman 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
31.01.2025 Ajman Ajman 4-3 HT 1-2 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
23.08.2024 Al Wahda Al Wahda 1-0 HT 0-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
20.04.2024 Al Wahda Al Wahda 1-2 HT 1-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
04.11.2023 Ajman Ajman 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
06.05.2023 Ajman Ajman 2-3 HT 1-2 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wahda
1-1
AWAY Ajman
0.90 xG 1.36
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
401 Passes 240
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 9
9 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Wahda vs Ajman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wahda and Ajman shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Al Wahda carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Wahda had 60% of the ball to Ajman's 40%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.90 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wahda had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Wahda and 1.33 for Ajman.

What was the final score of Al Wahda vs Ajman?

Al Wahda 1-1 Ajman in the UAE - League Cup on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wahda vs Ajman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wahda win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Wahda 61%, draw 21%, Ajman 18%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Wahda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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