North District 2-1 Hong Kong FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.53
Draw
17%
4.19
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
61%
+4.4pp
17%
Draw
20%
-3.6pp
18%
Away Win
19%
-0.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North District EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Hong Kong FC EU Bookmakers 22%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
3.03/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.27
+66% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
355 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North District
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Hong Kong FC
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2025 North District North District 3-1 HT 1-1 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
15.03.2025 North District North District 2-1 HT 2-1 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
03.11.2024 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 2-0 HT 2-0 North District North District HK1
12.05.2024 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 1-0 HT 0-0 North District North District HK1
17.12.2023 North District North District 2-2 HT 0-1 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME North District
2-1
AWAY Hong Kong FC
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH North District vs Hong Kong FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North District squeezed past Hong Kong FC 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had North District as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, North District had 64% of the ball to Hong Kong FC's 36%, shots finished 20-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for North District and 1.40 for Hong Kong FC.

What was the final score of North District vs Hong Kong FC?

North District 2-1 Hong Kong FC in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North District vs Hong Kong FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a North District win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split North District 65%, draw 17%, Hong Kong FC 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (North District), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (North District) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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31 Aug 2025
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