Aparecida FC 1-1 Vila Mea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.97
Over 2.5
61%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+4.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
47%
-7.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
53%
+7.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.9pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aparecida FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vila Mea EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aparecida FC
1-1
AWAY Vila Mea
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Aparecida FC vs Vila Mea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aparecida FC and Vila Mea shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Aparecida FC had 46% of the ball to Vila Mea's 54%, shots finished 12-12.

What was the final score of Aparecida FC vs Vila Mea?

Aparecida FC 1-1 Vila Mea in the Portugal - Cup on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aparecida FC vs Vila Mea?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vila Mea win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aparecida FC 37%, draw 25%, Vila Mea 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vila Mea), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vila Mea) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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