Celoricense 1-0 Celeiros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.28
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
12%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
74%
-7.2pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.1pp
13%
Away Win
10%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celoricense EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Celeiros EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celoricense
1-0
AWAY Celeiros
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Celoricense vs Celeiros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celoricense squeezed past Celeiros 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Celoricense as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Celoricense had 60% of the ball to Celeiros's 40%, shots finished 19-3.

What was the final score of Celoricense vs Celeiros?

Celoricense 1-0 Celeiros in the Portugal - Cup on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celoricense vs Celeiros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celoricense win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Celoricense 67%, draw 21%, Celeiros 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celoricense) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celoricense) ✗ Over 2.5
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