Zaglebie Sosnowiec 3-3 Olimpia Grudziadz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
24%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
14.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.6pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.7pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
0.94/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.41
-37% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
328 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
55% Ball Possession 45%
26 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.11.2024 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 1-3 HT 1-1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL2
21.07.2024 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-1 HT 1-1 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
23.11.2019 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 2-1 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL1
27.09.2018 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 0-0 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POLK
25.09.2015 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0-0 HT 0-0 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
3-3
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Olimpia Grudziadz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Sosnowiec and Olimpia Grudziadz couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Zaglebie Sosnowiec at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zaglebie Sosnowiec had 66% of the ball to Olimpia Grudziadz's 34%, shots finished 14-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Zaglebie Sosnowiec had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Zaglebie Sosnowiec and 0.80 for Olimpia Grudziadz.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 3-3 Olimpia Grudziadz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Sosnowiec win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Sosnowiec 43%, draw 22%, Olimpia Grudziadz 35%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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