Alverca 1-2 Benfica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 31 Aug 2025

Alverca
1-2 HT 0-2
Benfica
📅31/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2025/2026

Alverca vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
7.95
Draw
14%
4.95
Away
76%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
18.8
1/2
6%
22.8
1/X
3%
26.5
X/1
3%
20.85
X/2
17%
3.66
X/X
7%
7.82
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
54%
1.43
2/X
3%
22.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
9%
Home Win
10%
-0.1pp
14%
Draw
17%
-2.6pp
76%
Away Win
73%
+2.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alverca v Benfica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alverca EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica EU Bookmakers 78%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
2.21/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.93
-100% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -4%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
247 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 470 · 85%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.8
9.0 Crosses 19.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Alverca vs Benfica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alverca
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Benfica
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
28.03.2004 Benfica Benfica 2-0 HT 2-0 Alverca Alverca POR
09.11.2003 Alverca Alverca 0-3 HT 0-1 Benfica Benfica POR
24.02.2002 Alverca Alverca 1-3 HT 0-0 Benfica Benfica POR
30.09.2001 Benfica Benfica 3-2 HT 2-1 Alverca Alverca POR
04.05.2001 Benfica Benfica 0-2 HT 0-1 Alverca Alverca POR
10.12.2000 Alverca Alverca 2-1 HT 1-1 Benfica Benfica POR

Alverca 1-2 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alverca
1-2
AWAY Benfica
0.74 xG 1.02
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
349 Passes 441
88% Pass Accuracy 90%
15 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Alverca vs Benfica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica edged past Alverca 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Alverca had 46% of the ball to Benfica's 54%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.74 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alverca and 2.00 for Benfica.

What was the final score of Alverca vs Benfica?

Alverca 1-2 Benfica in the Portugal - Premier League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alverca vs Benfica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Alverca 9%, draw 14%, Benfica 76%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benfica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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