Tondela 2-2 Estoril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 31 Aug 2025

Tondela
2-2 HT 0-1
Estoril
📅31/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2025/2026

Tondela vs Estoril Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.61
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
4.12
6+ Goals
10%
20.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.72
1/2
9%
32.5
1/X
9%
13.05
X/1
8%
5.36
X/2
10%
5.74
X/X
15%
4.01
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
19%
4.14
2/X
5%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tondela v Estoril — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tondela EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
1.37/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.28
+1% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
18.5 Crosses 18.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Tondela vs Estoril Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tondela
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Estoril
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.94 xG 1.08
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 Passes 281
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
19.11.2022 Tondela Tondela 0-0 HT 0-0 Estoril Estoril PORLC
12.02.2022 Estoril Estoril 1-0 HT 0-0 Tondela Tondela POR
21.12.2021 Tondela Tondela 3-1 HT 1-1 Estoril Estoril POK
13.09.2021 Tondela Tondela 1-2 HT 0-2 Estoril Estoril POR
21.10.2018 Estoril Estoril 1-1 HT 0-0 Tondela Tondela POK
30.01.2018 Estoril Estoril 3-0 HT 2-0 Tondela Tondela POR

Tondela 2-2 Estoril — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tondela
2-2
AWAY Estoril
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
231 Passes 211
71% Pass Accuracy 67%
POST-MATCH Tondela vs Estoril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tondela and Estoril couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tondela had 51% of the ball to Estoril's 49%, shots finished 14-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estoril led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tondela and 1.33 for Estoril.

What was the final score of Tondela vs Estoril?

Tondela 2-2 Estoril in the Portugal - Premier League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tondela vs Estoril?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estoril win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tondela 33%, draw 29%, Estoril 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Estoril), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estoril) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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