Santa Clara 0-0 Estrela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.99
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.97
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.5
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
16.3
X/1
13%
3.87
X/2
10%
8.56
X/X
16%
3.59
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
8%
8.17
2/X
4%
18.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.3pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.5pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.68/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.99
+3% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +63%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
315 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
17.0 Crosses 16.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Estrela
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.11 xG 0.70
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
240 Passes 297
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 14
8 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2025 Estrela Estrela 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
21.09.2024 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-0 HT 0-0 Estrela Estrela POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara
0-0
AWAY Estrela
0.98 xG 0.15
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 0
343 Passes 280
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 3
28 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Clara vs Estrela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara and Estrela fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Clara at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Santa Clara had 55% of the ball to Estrela's 45%, shots finished 13-3, expected goals 0.98 to 0.15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Santa Clara had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Santa Clara and 0.00 for Estrela.

What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Estrela?

Santa Clara 0-0 Estrela in the Portugal - Premier League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Estrela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 45%, draw 31%, Estrela 24%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Santa Clara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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