Estrela 0-0 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
5.34
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.85
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
11%
15.2
X/1
14%
6.85
X/2
12%
4.51
X/X
12%
3.62
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.09
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.0pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.1pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.06/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.11
+17% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
12.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
13.3 Crosses 15.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estrela
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Santa Clara
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.40 xG 1.73
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
289 Passes 206
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
10 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-0 HT 0-0 Estrela Estrela POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estrela
0-0
AWAY Santa Clara
0.99 xG 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
305 Passes 275
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Estrela vs Santa Clara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estrela and Santa Clara played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Estrela had 53% of the ball to Santa Clara's 47%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 0.99 to 0.50.

What was the final score of Estrela vs Santa Clara?

Estrela 0-0 Santa Clara in the Portugal - Premier League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estrela vs Santa Clara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Estrela 31%, draw 30%, Santa Clara 39%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Santa Clara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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