Famalicao 2-0 Moreirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
15%
4.91
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.3 — our 39% vs market 35.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.47
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
13%
4.99
X/2
13%
6.26
X/X
16%
3.66
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
12%
4.94
2/X
7%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.2pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreirense EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -6%
1.08/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.08
-18% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
18.9 Crosses 16.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Moreirense
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 1.06
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
354 Passes 308
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.09.2024 Moreirense Moreirense 0-0 HT 0-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
28.01.2024 Moreirense Moreirense 1-0 HT 0-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
21.08.2023 Famalicao Famalicao 0-0 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
13.02.2022 Famalicao Famalicao 5-0 HT 4-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
12.09.2021 Moreirense Moreirense 2-2 HT 1-1 Famalicao Famalicao POR
19.05.2021 Moreirense Moreirense 3-0 HT 2-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao
2-0
AWAY Moreirense
1.00 xG 0.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 1
318 Passes 344
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Famalicao vs Moreirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao beat Moreirense 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Famalicao made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Famalicao had 49% of the ball to Moreirense's 51%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.00 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moreirense led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Famalicao and 1.00 for Moreirense.

What was the final score of Famalicao vs Moreirense?

Famalicao 2-0 Moreirense in the Portugal - Premier League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao vs Moreirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Famalicao 38%, draw 30%, Moreirense 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Famalicao), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Famalicao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR More Portugal - Premier League
23 Feb 2025
18:30 Estrela vs Santa Clara Analysis →
18:30 Arouca vs Farense Analysis →
21:00 AVS vs Sporting CP Analysis →