Alfaro vs Tenerife Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alfaro v Tenerife — Team-Based Signals
Alfaro 0-2 Tenerife — Actual Match Statistics
Tenerife beat Alfaro 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tenerife as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
On the day, Alfaro had 37% of the ball to Tenerife's 63%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.18 to 2.31.
What was the final score of Alfaro vs Tenerife?
Alfaro 0-2 Tenerife in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alfaro vs Tenerife?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tenerife win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Alfaro 23%, draw 22%, Tenerife 55%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tenerife), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.