Don Benito 1-2 FC Andorra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 31 Oct 2024

📅31/10/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.68
Over
35%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.88
No
62%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2-3
38%
4-5
15%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
44%
Away Win
44%
-0.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+9.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-9.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
49%
-11.3pp
62%
BTTS No
51%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Don Benito EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Andorra EU Bookmakers 48%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Don Benito
1-2
AWAY FC Andorra
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
0 Passes 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Don Benito vs FC Andorra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Andorra squeezed past Don Benito 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Andorra as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Don Benito had 36% of the ball to FC Andorra's 64%, shots finished 10-14.

What was the final score of Don Benito vs FC Andorra?

Don Benito 1-2 FC Andorra in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Don Benito vs FC Andorra?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Andorra win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Don Benito 30%, draw 26%, FC Andorra 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Andorra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Andorra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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