Barbastro vs Amorebieta Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Barbastro v Amorebieta — Team-Based Signals
Barbastro 4-0 Amorebieta — Actual Match Statistics
Barbastro cruised past Amorebieta 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (27% / 36% / 37%) promised a tight game; Barbastro found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Barbastro had 47% of the ball to Amorebieta's 53%, shots finished 15-12.
What was the final score of Barbastro vs Amorebieta?
Barbastro 4-0 Amorebieta in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Barbastro vs Amorebieta?
Before kick-off our model rated an Amorebieta win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Barbastro 27%, draw 36%, Amorebieta 37%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.