Crotone 2-2 Benevento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 31 Oct 2024

📅31/10/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.08
6+ Goals
9%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+5.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crotone EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Benevento EU Bookmakers 48%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
0.50/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.89
-55% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crotone
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Benevento
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.94 xG 1.94
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
304 Passes 348
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.02.2024 Crotone Crotone 0-0 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
01.10.2023 Benevento Benevento 3-2 HT 0-1 Crotone Crotone İTC
12.03.2022 Benevento Benevento 3-1 HT 2-1 Crotone Crotone İTB
28.10.2021 Crotone Crotone 0-2 HT 0-1 Benevento Benevento İTB
16.05.2021 Benevento Benevento 1-1 HT 1-0 Crotone Crotone İTA
17.01.2021 Crotone Crotone 4-1 HT 2-0 Benevento Benevento İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crotone
2-2
AWAY Benevento
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Crotone vs Benevento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crotone and Benevento shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Crotone had 53% of the ball to Benevento's 47%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benevento led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Crotone and 1.67 for Benevento.

What was the final score of Crotone vs Benevento?

Crotone 2-2 Benevento in the Italy - Serie C on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crotone vs Benevento?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Crotone 35%, draw 26%, Benevento 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Benevento) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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