Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 Dragon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 31 Oct 2024

📅31/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.81
No
61%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-0.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
51%
-12.4pp
61%
BTTS No
49%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Dragon EU Bookmakers 23%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +5%
1.81/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.15
+12% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dragon
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.03.2024 Dragon Dragon 1-4 HT 0-2 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
15.01.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 1-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
06.11.2023 Dragon Dragon 3-3 HT 3-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
14.09.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-3 HT 2-2 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
21.05.2023 Dragon Dragon 2-1 HT 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
18.05.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs Dragon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo nicked a narrow win over Dragon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Luis Angel Firpo as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 1.67 for Dragon.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs Dragon?

Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 Dragon in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs Dragon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 55%, draw 24%, Dragon 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ELSAL More El Salvador - Primera Liga
31 Oct 2024
00:00 Cacahuatique vs Isidro Metapan Analysis →