Greenock Morton 2-1 Partick Thistle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 31 Dec 2024

📅31/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.6
2-3 Goals
35%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.03
6+ Goals
9%
19.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 37% vs market 30.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.65
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
7%
14.7
X/1
10%
7.1
X/2
11%
4.39
X/X
19%
4.26
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.88
2/X
6%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.3pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.8pp
38%
Away Win
46%
-7.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.1pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.81/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/1.26
-6% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
289 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 69%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
9.5 Crosses 14.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenock Morton
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Partick Thistle
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
03.08.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 0-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
16.03.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-1 HT 1-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
13.01.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-1 HT 1-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
11.11.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-1 HT 1-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
02.09.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-4 HT 1-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
11.03.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-0 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
FAQ Greenock Morton vs Partick Thistle
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Greenock Morton edged past Partick Thistle 2-1 in the Scotland - Championship on 31 Dec 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 41% and both teams to score was close to even at 42%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle lead the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Greenock Morton and 1.50 for Partick Thistle.

What was the final score of Greenock Morton vs Partick Thistle?

Greenock Morton 2-1 Partick Thistle in the Scotland - Championship on 31/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenock Morton vs Partick Thistle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Greenock Morton 29%, draw 32%, Partick Thistle 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Partick Thistle) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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