Carmarthen Town 3-0 Ammanford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 1 Jan 2025

📅01/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.0pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Ammanford EU Bookmakers 29%
+14% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.94/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.45
-5% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +39%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carmarthen Town
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ammanford
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
23.08.2024 Ammanford Ammanford 2-3 HT 1-3 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
20.01.2024 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 0-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
06.10.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 2-2 HT 1-2 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
02.01.2023 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
27.12.2022 Ammanford Ammanford 0-4 HT 0-3 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
18.04.2022 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 4-0 HT 2-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
POST-MATCH Carmarthen Town vs Ammanford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmarthen Town cruised past Ammanford 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Carmarthen Town as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Carmarthen Town and 1.17 for Ammanford.

What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Ammanford?

Carmarthen Town 3-0 Ammanford in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Ammanford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 46%, draw 26%, Ammanford 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carmarthen Town), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✓ Over 2.5
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