Gresford Athletic 1-0 Ruthin Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 1 Jan 2025

📅01/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.41
No
36%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.4pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.7pp
48%
Away Win
48%
+0.3pp
64%
BTTS Yes
67%
-3.1pp
36%
BTTS No
33%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruthin Town EU Bookmakers 52%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.22/2.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.58
-27% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gresford Athletic
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ruthin Town
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
06.09.2024 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 4-0 HT 2-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
29.03.2024 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-2 HT 1-2 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
11.08.2023 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
18.02.2023 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
29.08.2022 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 3-1 HT 1-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
26.03.2022 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Gresford Athletic vs Ruthin Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gresford Athletic edged past Ruthin Town 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ruthin Town at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ruthin Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gresford Athletic and 1.67 for Ruthin Town.

What was the final score of Gresford Athletic vs Ruthin Town?

Gresford Athletic 1-0 Ruthin Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gresford Athletic vs Ruthin Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ruthin Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Gresford Athletic 31%, draw 21%, Ruthin Town 48%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ruthin Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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