Haverfordwest County 1-0 Aberystwyth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 1 Jan 2025

Haverfordwest County
1-0 HT 1-0
Aberystwyth Town
📅01/01/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

Haverfordwest County vs Aberystwyth Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.34
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.29
No
64%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.14
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
25%
3.38
6+ Goals
8%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
70%
-9.2pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.2pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.8pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Haverfordwest County v Aberystwyth Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 14%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
3.69/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.56
+40% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
459 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.3

Haverfordwest County vs Aberystwyth Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haverfordwest County
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Aberystwyth Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
The Meetings
20.09.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 0-3 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
15.03.2024 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 2-0 HT 1-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
02.02.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
30.12.2023 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
30.09.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 3-0 HT 0-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
15.04.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-1 HT 0-1 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
POST-MATCH Haverfordwest County vs Aberystwyth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haverfordwest County nicked a narrow win over Aberystwyth Town 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Haverfordwest County as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (64%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haverfordwest County had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Haverfordwest County and 0.50 for Aberystwyth Town.

What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs Aberystwyth Town?

Haverfordwest County 1-0 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - Premier League on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs Aberystwyth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 61%, draw 23%, Aberystwyth Town 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haverfordwest County), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Haverfordwest County) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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