Bristol City 5-0 Portsmouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Jan 2026

📅01/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.87
6+ Goals
10%
17.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.16
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.35
X/1
15%
4.07
X/2
11%
10.1
X/X
15%
4.86
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
25.5
2/2
8%
8.68
2/X
5%
17.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.0pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Portsmouth EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.64/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.55
+8% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
21.2 Crosses 19.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Portsmouth
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.77 xG 1.38
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
303 Passes 284
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2025 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0-1 HT 0-1 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
29.12.2024 Bristol City Bristol City 3-0 HT 3-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNCL
07.12.2024 Portsmouth Portsmouth 3-0 HT 1-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
29.07.2023 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0-1 Bristol City Bristol City HAZ
10.01.2021 Bristol City Bristol City 2-1 HT 1-1 Portsmouth Portsmouth FAK
17.03.2012 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0-0 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol City
5-0
AWAY Portsmouth
1.51 xG 0.42
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 1
563 Passes 295
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 7
8 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bristol City vs Portsmouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol City ran out comfortable winners over Portsmouth 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bristol City as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Bristol City had 62% of the ball to Portsmouth's 38%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 1.51 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bristol City and 0.67 for Portsmouth.

What was the final score of Bristol City vs Portsmouth?

Bristol City 5-0 Portsmouth in the England - Championship on 01/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol City vs Portsmouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bristol City 51%, draw 25%, Portsmouth 24%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bristol City) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bristol City) ✗ BTTS Yes
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