Bristol City 3-0 Portsmouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.45
6+ Goals
12%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 29% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.11
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.2
X/1
15%
3.91
X/2
11%
10.6
X/X
15%
5.03
2/1
7%
24.7
2/2
7%
8.51
2/X
7%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Portsmouth EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.85/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.99
+6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -41%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
25.8 Crosses 14.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Portsmouth
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.22 xG 1.92
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
363 Passes 276
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2024 Portsmouth Portsmouth 3-0 HT 1-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
29.07.2023 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0-1 Bristol City Bristol City HAZ
10.01.2021 Bristol City Bristol City 2-1 HT 1-1 Portsmouth Portsmouth FAK
17.03.2012 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0-0 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
20.08.2011 Bristol City Bristol City 0-0 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNCL
08.03.2011 Bristol City Bristol City 2-1 HT 1-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol City
3-0
AWAY Portsmouth
3.06 xG 0.20
44% Ball Possession 56%
20 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
242 Passes 356
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 4
29 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bristol City vs Portsmouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol City cruised past Portsmouth 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bristol City as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Bristol City had 44% of the ball to Portsmouth's 56%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 3.06 to 0.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bristol City and 0.83 for Portsmouth.

What was the final score of Bristol City vs Portsmouth?

Bristol City 3-0 Portsmouth in the England - Championship on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol City vs Portsmouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bristol City 49%, draw 28%, Portsmouth 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bristol City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bristol City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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