Auckland 1-3 Newcastle Jets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 1 Jan 2026

Auckland
1-3 HT 1-2
Newcastle Jets
📅01/01/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2025/2026

Auckland vs Newcastle Jets Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.61
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.96
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.41
No
38%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.92
2-3 Goals
36%
2.2
4-5 Goals
27%
2.43
6+ Goals
17%
4.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.99
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1 EV+ ✗
20%
4.7
X/2
8%
10.7
X/X
8%
7.52
2/1
6%
17.8
2/2
12%
6.96
2/X
6%
15.25
Value flag · X/1 at 4.7 — our 20% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-3.1pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.1pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.9pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
67%
-4.3pp
38%
BTTS No
33%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Auckland v Newcastle Jets — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auckland EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +19%
2.22/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.81
-4% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
410 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
24.2 Crosses 15.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

Auckland vs Newcastle Jets Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auckland
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Newcastle Jets
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.56 xG 2.32
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
363 Passes 376
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
34 Box Touches 24
29 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.11.2025 Auckland Auckland 1-2 HT 1-2 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
09.03.2025 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 1-1 HT 1-1 Auckland Auckland AVUS
30.11.2024 Auckland Auckland 2-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS

Auckland 1-3 Newcastle Jets — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auckland
1-3
AWAY Newcastle Jets
2.32 xG 2.57
71% Ball Possession 29%
23 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
473 Passes 177
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
60 Box Touches 12
59 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Auckland vs Newcastle Jets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Jets beat Auckland 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. Auckland carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Auckland had 71% of the ball to Newcastle Jets's 29%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 2.32 to 2.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Auckland and 1.00 for Newcastle Jets.

What was the final score of Auckland vs Newcastle Jets?

Auckland 1-3 Newcastle Jets in the Australia - A-League on 01/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auckland vs Newcastle Jets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auckland win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Auckland 55%, draw 21%, Newcastle Jets 24%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Auckland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Auckland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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