Auckland 1-2 Newcastle Jets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 30 Nov 2025

Auckland
1-2 HT 1-2
Newcastle Jets
📅30/11/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2025/2026

Auckland vs Newcastle Jets Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.64
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.61
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.79
2-3 Goals
40%
2.06
4-5 Goals
25%
2.56
6+ Goals
11%
5.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
2.1
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
17%
4.62
X/2
8%
9.86
X/X
6%
6.96
2/1
7%
18.8
2/2
9%
6.6
2/X
4%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
56%
+2.8pp
17%
Draw
21%
-4.2pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+1.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.9pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Auckland v Newcastle Jets — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auckland EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.63/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.77
-21% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
427 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
23.4 Crosses 17.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4

Auckland vs Newcastle Jets Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auckland
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Newcastle Jets
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.81 xG 2.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
350 Passes 388
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.03.2025 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 1-1 HT 1-1 Auckland Auckland AVUS
30.11.2024 Auckland Auckland 2-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS

Auckland 1-2 Newcastle Jets — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auckland
1-2
AWAY Newcastle Jets
2.32 xG 2.62
54% Ball Possession 46%
26 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 1
391 Passes 352
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
45 Box Touches 31
32 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Auckland vs Newcastle Jets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Jets nicked a narrow win over Auckland 2-1 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Auckland carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Auckland had 54% of the ball to Newcastle Jets's 46%, shots finished 26-17, expected goals 2.32 to 2.62.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Auckland had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Auckland and 0.50 for Newcastle Jets.

What was the final score of Auckland vs Newcastle Jets?

Auckland 1-2 Newcastle Jets in the Australia - A-League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auckland vs Newcastle Jets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auckland win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Auckland 59%, draw 17%, Newcastle Jets 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Auckland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Auckland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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30 Nov 2025
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