Macarthur 0-2 Perth Glory — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
27%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
7.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.56
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
17%
4.96
X/2
8%
8.06
X/X
10%
5.75
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.3
2/2
16%
5.41
2/X
6%
13.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.3 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.6pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macarthur EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
2.40/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.67
+21% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
18.6 Crosses 17.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macarthur
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Perth Glory
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.96 xG 1.42
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
393 Passes 398
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.12.2024 Perth Glory Perth Glory 0-3 HT 0-2 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
20.10.2024 Macarthur Macarthur 6-1 HT 5-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
28.01.2024 Macarthur Macarthur 2-2 HT 1-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
23.12.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 3-2 HT 0-2 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
18.07.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 0-4 HT 0-3 Macarthur Macarthur AVUK
01.04.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 2-1 HT 0-1 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macarthur
0-2
AWAY Perth Glory
0.57 xG 1.99
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
361 Passes 246
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 24
33 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Macarthur vs Perth Glory
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth Glory beat Macarthur 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Macarthur at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Macarthur had 58% of the ball to Perth Glory's 42%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.57 to 1.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Macarthur had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Macarthur and 1.33 for Perth Glory.

What was the final score of Macarthur vs Perth Glory?

Macarthur 0-2 Perth Glory in the Australia - A-League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macarthur vs Perth Glory?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macarthur win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Macarthur 47%, draw 23%, Perth Glory 30%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Macarthur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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30 Nov 2025
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