Perth Glory 0-3 Macarthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 27 Dec 2024

Perth Glory
0-3 HT 0-2
Macarthur
📅27/12/2024 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Perth Glory vs Macarthur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
44%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.98
4-5 Goals
30%
2.57
6+ Goals
12%
6.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
5.45
1/2
4%
20.6
1/X
9%
13.3
X/1
13%
8.65
X/2
14%
4.74
X/X
8%
6.11
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
25%
2.37
2/X EV+ ✗
14%
13.0
Value flag · 2/X at 13.0 — our 14% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
-0.5pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.2pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-6.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.3pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Perth Glory v Macarthur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Macarthur EU Bookmakers 55%
+9% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.16/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.33
+19% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +29%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
16.8 Crosses 19.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Perth Glory vs Macarthur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Macarthur
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.48 xG 1.85
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
398 Passes 383
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.10.2024 Macarthur Macarthur 6-1 HT 5-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
28.01.2024 Macarthur Macarthur 2-2 HT 1-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
23.12.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 3-2 HT 0-2 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
18.07.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 0-4 HT 0-3 Macarthur Macarthur AVUK
01.04.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 2-1 HT 0-1 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
18.12.2022 Macarthur Macarthur 1-0 HT 0-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS

Perth Glory 0-3 Macarthur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory
0-3
AWAY Macarthur
0.67 xG 1.52
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
291 Passes 386
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Perth Glory vs Macarthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macarthur ran out comfortable winners over Perth Glory 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Macarthur as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Perth Glory had 44% of the ball to Macarthur's 56%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 0.67 to 1.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Macarthur led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Perth Glory and 2.67 for Macarthur.

What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Macarthur?

Perth Glory 0-3 Macarthur in the Australia - A-League on 27/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Macarthur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Macarthur win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 26%, draw 30%, Macarthur 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macarthur), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Macarthur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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