Stevenage vs Exeter City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stevenage v Exeter City — Team-Based Signals
Stevenage vs Exeter City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Exeter City
İN1
1-1
HT 1-0
Stevenage
İNLK
2-1
HT 2-1
Stevenage
İN2
2-2
HT 1-1
Exeter City
İN2
Stevenage 4-1 Exeter City — Actual Match Statistics
Stevenage swept aside Exeter City 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stevenage as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Stevenage had 49% of the ball to Exeter City's 51%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 2.84 to 1.51.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Exeter City led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Stevenage and 1.50 for Exeter City.
What was the final score of Stevenage vs Exeter City?
Stevenage 4-1 Exeter City in the England - 1st Division on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stevenage vs Exeter City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 43%, draw 28%, Exeter City 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stevenage) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.