Exeter City vs Stevenage Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Exeter City v Stevenage — Team-Based Signals
Exeter City vs Stevenage Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Exeter City
İN1
1-1
HT 1-0
Stevenage
İNLK
2-1
HT 2-1
Stevenage
İN2
2-2
HT 1-1
Exeter City
İN2
0-1
HT 0-1
Exeter City
İN2
3-1
HT 1-0
Stevenage
İN2
Exeter City 1-0 Stevenage — Actual Match Statistics
Exeter City squeezed past Stevenage 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Stevenage at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Exeter City had 60% of the ball to Stevenage's 40%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.98 to 0.73.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Exeter City had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Exeter City and 1.00 for Stevenage.
What was the final score of Exeter City vs Stevenage?
Exeter City 1-0 Stevenage in the England - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Exeter City vs Stevenage?
Before kick-off our model rated an Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Exeter City 30%, draw 29%, Stevenage 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stevenage) went the other way.