Bristol Rovers 0-2 Bolton Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

Bristol Rovers
0-2 HT 0-0
Bolton Wanderers
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✓
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Bristol Rovers vs Bolton Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.71
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
46%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.12
6+ Goals
9%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 29% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.58
1/2
7%
21.85
1/X
6%
16.4
X/1
9%
11.3
X/2
17%
3.83
X/X
13%
5.77
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
22%
1.95
2/X
8%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+8.1pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.9pp
46%
Away Win
59%
-13.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bristol Rovers v Bolton Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol Rovers EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 62%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.96/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.96
-18% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
275 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
17.5 Crosses 20.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

Bristol Rovers vs Bolton Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol Rovers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.66 xG 1.34
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
271 Passes 319
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-2 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
07.05.2023 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 2-3 HT 1-1 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
02.12.2022 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-1 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
28.01.2020 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
22.10.2019 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
28.02.2017 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1

Bristol Rovers 0-2 Bolton Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol Rovers
0-2
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
0.80 xG 1.85
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 Passes 256
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 16
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bristol Rovers vs Bolton Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolton Wanderers got the better of Bristol Rovers 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bolton Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bristol Rovers had 53% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 47%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.80 to 1.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bristol Rovers and 1.50 for Bolton Wanderers.

What was the final score of Bristol Rovers vs Bolton Wanderers?

Bristol Rovers 0-2 Bolton Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol Rovers vs Bolton Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bristol Rovers 27%, draw 27%, Bolton Wanderers 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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