Leyton Orient 3-1 Cheltenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

Leyton Orient
3-1 HT 2-0
Cheltenham Town
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Leyton Orient vs Cheltenham Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.33
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 33% vs market 31.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.02
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
16%
4.42
X/2
10%
6.49
X/X
13%
4.24
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
9%
5.13
2/X
8%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-2.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leyton Orient v Cheltenham Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -10%
1.10/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.44
-43% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
25.0 Crosses 15.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Leyton Orient vs Cheltenham Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leyton Orient
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Cheltenham Town
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.89 xG 1.57
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
304 Passes 168
72% Pass Accuracy 58%
18 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
10.04.2021 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
03.10.2020 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-2 HT 0-2 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
15.02.2020 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
03.08.2019 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-0 HT 0-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
25.02.2017 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-1 HT 0-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2

Leyton Orient 3-1 Cheltenham Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leyton Orient
3-1
AWAY Cheltenham Town
1.51 xG 1.90
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
328 Passes 220
75% Pass Accuracy 64%
26 Box Touches 33
9 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leyton Orient vs Cheltenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient beat Cheltenham Town 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leyton Orient as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leyton Orient had 56% of the ball to Cheltenham Town's 44%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.51 to 1.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cheltenham Town led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Leyton Orient and 1.17 for Cheltenham Town.

What was the final score of Leyton Orient vs Cheltenham Town?

Leyton Orient 3-1 Cheltenham Town in the England - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leyton Orient vs Cheltenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leyton Orient win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Leyton Orient 46%, draw 28%, Cheltenham Town 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leyton Orient) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leyton Orient) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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