Exeter City vs Stevenage Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Exeter City v Stevenage — Team-Based Signals
Exeter City vs Stevenage Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Exeter City
İN1
1-1
HT 1-0
Stevenage
İNLK
2-1
HT 2-1
Stevenage
İN2
2-2
HT 1-1
Exeter City
İN2
0-1
HT 0-1
Exeter City
İN2
Exeter City 2-0 Stevenage — Actual Match Statistics
Exeter City got the better of Stevenage 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Exeter City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Exeter City had 59% of the ball to Stevenage's 41%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.36 to 0.77.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Exeter City had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Exeter City and 0.83 for Stevenage.
What was the final score of Exeter City vs Stevenage?
Exeter City 2-0 Stevenage in the England - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Exeter City vs Stevenage?
Before kick-off our model rated an Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Exeter City 35%, draw 29%, Stevenage 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stevenage) went the other way.