Mansfield Town 2-1 Shrewsbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

Mansfield Town
2-1 HT 0-1
Shrewsbury
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Mansfield Town vs Shrewsbury Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 30% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.22
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
17%
4.18
X/2
9%
9.48
X/X
15%
5.15
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
10%
6.99
2/X
6%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.5pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.7pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mansfield Town v Shrewsbury — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
2.28/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.26
+40% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
302 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 61%
33.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
24.0 Crosses 14.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Mansfield Town vs Shrewsbury Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mansfield Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Shrewsbury
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
The Meetings
30.11.2019 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 2-0 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town FAK
06.04.2015 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN2
15.11.2014 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 2-0 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
19.04.2008 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 3-1 HT 2-1 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN2
27.10.2007 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-0 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
03.02.2007 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN2

Mansfield Town 2-1 Shrewsbury — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mansfield Town
2-1
AWAY Shrewsbury
2.08 xG 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
355 Passes 294
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mansfield Town vs Shrewsbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mansfield Town squeezed past Shrewsbury 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mansfield Town as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Mansfield Town had 55% of the ball to Shrewsbury's 45%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 2.08 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shrewsbury led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mansfield Town and 1.17 for Shrewsbury.

What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Shrewsbury?

Mansfield Town 2-1 Shrewsbury in the England - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mansfield Town vs Shrewsbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mansfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mansfield Town 44%, draw 30%, Shrewsbury 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mansfield Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mansfield Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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