Rotherham United 0-2 Birmingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

Rotherham United
0-2 HT 0-2
Birmingham
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Rotherham United vs Birmingham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 27% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.77
1/2
8%
24.45
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
9%
6.85
X/2
16%
4.76
X/X
12%
4.92
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
21%
2.86
2/X
7%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rotherham United v Birmingham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham EU Bookmakers 48%
+10% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
2.00/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.60
+51% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -29%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
268 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 74%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
36.0 Crosses 17.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Rotherham United vs Birmingham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rotherham United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Birmingham
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.61 xG 1.02
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
173 Passes 194
60% Pass Accuracy 63%
23 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Birmingham Birmingham 0-0 HT 0-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNCL
11.03.2023 Birmingham Birmingham 2-0 HT 2-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNCL
27.08.2022 Rotherham United Rotherham United 2-0 HT 1-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
18.04.2021 Rotherham United Rotherham United 0-1 HT 0-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
26.09.2020 Birmingham Birmingham 1-1 HT 0-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNCL
22.04.2019 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-3 HT 1-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL

Rotherham United 0-2 Birmingham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rotherham United
0-2
AWAY Birmingham
0.79 xG 2.53
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 8
146 Passes 429
65% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rotherham United vs Birmingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham got the better of Rotherham United 2-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Birmingham as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Rotherham United had 32% of the ball to Birmingham's 68%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.79 to 2.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rotherham United and 1.17 for Birmingham.

What was the final score of Rotherham United vs Birmingham?

Rotherham United 0-2 Birmingham in the England - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rotherham United vs Birmingham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Birmingham win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rotherham United 28%, draw 27%, Birmingham 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Birmingham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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