Bolton Wanderers 5-2 Reading — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.78
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.22
6+ Goals
12%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.44
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
15%
4.42
X/2
9%
8.43
X/X
9%
4.94
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
13%
6.07
2/X
6%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Reading EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -25%
1.33/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.38
+8% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 71%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
19.7 Crosses 20.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolton Wanderers
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Reading
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.66 xG 1.32
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
238 Passes 380
68% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 5-2 HT 2-1 Reading Reading İN1
16.09.2023 Reading Reading 2-1 HT 0-1 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
29.01.2019 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Reading Reading İNCL
18.08.2018 Reading Reading 0-1 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İNCL
06.03.2018 Reading Reading 1-1 HT 1-1 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İNCL
21.11.2017 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-2 HT 2-0 Reading Reading İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolton Wanderers
5-2
AWAY Reading
3.51 xG 2.38
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
239 Passes 317
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
44 Box Touches 33
17 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bolton Wanderers vs Reading
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolton Wanderers swept aside Reading 5-2. Half-time: 4-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bolton Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bolton Wanderers had 45% of the ball to Reading's 55%, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 3.51 to 2.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 1.33 for Reading.

What was the final score of Bolton Wanderers vs Reading?

Bolton Wanderers 5-2 Reading in the England - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolton Wanderers vs Reading?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bolton Wanderers 48%, draw 24%, Reading 29%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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