Burton Albion vs Barnsley Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burton Albion v Barnsley — Team-Based Signals
Burton Albion vs Barnsley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Burton Albion
İN1
2-1
HT 0-0
Barnsley
İN1
2-0
HT 1-0
Burton Albion
İN1
3-1
HT 1-0
Barnsley
İN1
0-0
HT 0-0
Burton Albion
İN1
Burton Albion 1-2 Barnsley — Actual Match Statistics
Barnsley squeezed past Burton Albion 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Barnsley as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Burton Albion had 62% of the ball to Barnsley's 38%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.33 to 1.32.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnsley led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Burton Albion and 1.50 for Barnsley.
What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Barnsley?
Burton Albion 1-2 Barnsley in the England - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burton Albion vs Barnsley?
Before kick-off our model rated an Barnsley win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 26%, draw 23%, Barnsley 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnsley), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.