Guiseley 1-2 Lancaster City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.95
Over 2.5
58%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
+0.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.8pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guiseley EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.71/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.75
-2% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guiseley
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Lancaster City
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
53% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2024 Lancaster City Lancaster City 1-1 HT 1-0 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
30.03.2024 Guiseley Guiseley 2-3 HT 1-1 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
26.08.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 2-2 HT 0-2 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
22.04.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 2-1 HT 0-1 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
21.02.2023 Guiseley Guiseley 0-0 HT 0-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Guiseley vs Lancaster City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lancaster City nicked a narrow win over Guiseley 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Guiseley at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lancaster City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Guiseley and 1.60 for Lancaster City.

What was the final score of Guiseley vs Lancaster City?

Guiseley 1-2 Lancaster City in the England - Non League Premier on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guiseley vs Lancaster City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guiseley win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Guiseley 51%, draw 23%, Lancaster City 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Guiseley) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guiseley) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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