Ingolstadt 1-0 Saarbrücken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.97
Over
53%
1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.66
2-3
46%
1.84
4-5
24%
3.35
6+
6%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.2
1/2
2%
29.5
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
15%
5.29
X/2
12%
6.45
X/X
16%
4.81
2/1
3%
25.0
2/2
17%
4.35
2/X
5%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 3% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Ingolstadt The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Saarbrücken The Market 34%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.71 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.51
1.25 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.51
Average Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Strong
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11
17 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ingolstadt
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Saarbrücken
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
268 Passes 247
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.08.2024 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-3 HT 2-2 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
27.01.2024 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 0-2 HT 0-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
26.08.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-2 HT 1-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
18.02.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 3-4 HT 2-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
13.08.2022 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
08.05.2021 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ingolstadt
1 - 0
AWAY Saarbrücken
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
212 Passes 416
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Ingolstadt vs Saarbrücken
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ingolstadt found just enough to beat Saarbrücken 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ingolstadt as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Saarbrücken saw more of the ball, 63% to 37%, shots finished 11-21.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ingolstadt had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Ingolstadt against 1.17 for Saarbrücken.

Ingolstadt vs Saarbrücken Result & Final Score

Ingolstadt 1 - 0 Saarbrücken in the Germany - 3rd Division on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ingolstadt vs Saarbrücken Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 43%, draw 27%, Saarbrücken 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ingolstadt) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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