Saarbrücken vs Ingolstadt Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Saarbrücken v Ingolstadt — Team-Based Signals
Saarbrücken vs Ingolstadt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Saarbrücken
AL3
3-4
HT 2-1
Ingolstadt
AL3
0-0
HT 0-0
Saarbrücken
AL3
0-0
HT 0-0
Saarbrücken
AL3
3-3
HT 2-3
Ingolstadt
AL3
Saarbrücken 2-3 Ingolstadt — Actual Match Statistics
Ingolstadt squeezed past Saarbrücken 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Ingolstadt found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Saarbrücken had 49% of the ball to Ingolstadt's 51%, shots finished 18-20.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ingolstadt led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Saarbrücken and 1.83 for Ingolstadt.
What was the final score of Saarbrücken vs Ingolstadt?
Saarbrücken 2-3 Ingolstadt in the Germany - 3rd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Saarbrücken vs Ingolstadt?
Before kick-off our model rated a Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Saarbrücken 40%, draw 27%, Ingolstadt 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.