Hansa Rostock 1-1 Borussia Dortmund II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.0
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.11
6+ Goals
13%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 29% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.53
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
14%
4.47
X/2
12%
7.73
X/X
7%
5.28
2/1
9%
22.7
2/2
11%
5.42
2/X
8%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
1.38/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.46
-19% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
380 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.9 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hansa Rostock
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
25.04.2015 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 3-2 HT 2-2 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
26.10.2014 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 HT 1-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
09.03.2014 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 0-1 HT 0-1 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
14.09.2013 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 1-2 HT 1-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
20.04.2013 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 2-0 HT 0-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
27.10.2012 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 0-0 HT 0-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hansa Rostock
1-1
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
196 Passes 366
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hansa Rostock vs Borussia Dortmund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hansa Rostock and Borussia Dortmund II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hansa Rostock at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hansa Rostock had 39% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund II's 61%, shots finished 12-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hansa Rostock had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hansa Rostock and 0.83 for Borussia Dortmund II.

What was the final score of Hansa Rostock vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Hansa Rostock 1-1 Borussia Dortmund II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hansa Rostock vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hansa Rostock win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hansa Rostock 42%, draw 25%, Borussia Dortmund II 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hansa Rostock) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hansa Rostock) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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