Osnabrück 4-2 Unterhaching — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.26
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
15%
4.23
X/2
7%
8.83
X/X
10%
5.66
2/1
8%
21.4
2/2
13%
6.25
2/X
7%
14.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Unterhaching EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.68/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.39
-3% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
20.8 Crosses 15.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osnabrück
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Unterhaching
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.93 xG 0.41
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
213 Passes 222
67% Pass Accuracy 65%
24 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2019 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-4 HT 0-3 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
15.12.2018 Unterhaching Unterhaching 1-1 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
12.05.2018 Unterhaching Unterhaching 4-1 HT 2-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
09.12.2017 Osnabrück Osnabrück 2-0 HT 1-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
05.04.2015 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-0 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
27.09.2014 Unterhaching Unterhaching 3-4 HT 0-1 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osnabrück
4-2
AWAY Unterhaching
72% Ball Possession 28%
25 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
421 Passes 118
86% Pass Accuracy 62%
33 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Osnabrück vs Unterhaching
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osnabrück beat Unterhaching 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Osnabrück as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Osnabrück had 72% of the ball to Unterhaching's 28%, shots finished 25-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osnabrück had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Osnabrück and 2.00 for Unterhaching.

What was the final score of Osnabrück vs Unterhaching?

Osnabrück 4-2 Unterhaching in the Germany - 3rd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osnabrück vs Unterhaching?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osnabrück win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Osnabrück 48%, draw 24%, Unterhaching 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osnabrück), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Osnabrück) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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