Energie Cottbus 2-1 Alemannia Aachen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 24 Aug 2024

Energie Cottbus
2-1 HT 1-0
Alemannia Aachen
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Energie Cottbus vs Alemannia Aachen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.7
2-3 Goals
43%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.85
6+ Goals
9%
7.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.67
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
24.45
1/X
6%
12.35
X/1
14%
6.06
X/2
12%
5.68
X/X
9%
5.36
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
17%
3.34
2/X
8%
12.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.45 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.4pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Energie Cottbus v Alemannia Aachen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 42%
-16% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.11/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.00
-21% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +26%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
369 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 77%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.9 Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards –

Energie Cottbus vs Alemannia Aachen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Energie Cottbus
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
The Meetings
10.02.2012 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-1 HT 0-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
13.08.2011 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 0-2 HT 0-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2
04.02.2011 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 3-3 HT 2-3 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
17.09.2010 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 2-3 HT 1-1 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2
06.03.2010 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 3-1 HT 2-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
02.10.2009 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 1-1 HT 1-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2

Energie Cottbus 2-1 Alemannia Aachen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Energie Cottbus
2-1
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
259 Passes 157
73% Pass Accuracy 63%
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Energie Cottbus vs Alemannia Aachen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Energie Cottbus nicked a narrow win over Alemannia Aachen 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Energie Cottbus found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Energie Cottbus had 59% of the ball to Alemannia Aachen's 41%, shots finished 22-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Energie Cottbus had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Energie Cottbus and 1.33 for Alemannia Aachen.

What was the final score of Energie Cottbus vs Alemannia Aachen?

Energie Cottbus 2-1 Alemannia Aachen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Energie Cottbus vs Alemannia Aachen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Energie Cottbus win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Energie Cottbus 39%, draw 23%, Alemannia Aachen 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Energie Cottbus), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Energie Cottbus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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