Rot-Weiss Essen 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.97
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.97 — our 27% vs market 20.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.6
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
9%
12.7
X/1
13%
5.69
X/2
10%
5.67
X/X
14%
5.02
2/1
5%
26.5
2/2
17%
3.58
2/X
7%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.18/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.31
-16% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.93 xG 1.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
212 Passes 517
69% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
14.04.2024 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
04.11.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-1 HT 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
14.09.2020 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-0 HT 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
0-0
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
296 Passes 311
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Essen vs Arminia Bielefeld
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Essen and Arminia Bielefeld fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 48% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 52%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Essen had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 0.67 for Arminia Bielefeld.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Rot-Weiss Essen 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - 3rd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 36%, draw 30%, Arminia Bielefeld 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✓ Under 2.5
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