TPS Turku 1-0 SJK Akatemia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykköscup, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.75
2-3 Goals
44%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.63
6+ Goals
11%
6.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +61% / +61%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +81%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TPS Turku
3W-3D-0L
AWAY SJK Akatemia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 1-1 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
29.06.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-0 HT 0-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
24.06.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-3 HT 0-2 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİK
29.04.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-3 HT 0-3 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
18.02.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-0 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FINYK
22.09.2023 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 2-2 HT 2-2 TPS Turku TPS Turku FINY
POST-MATCH TPS Turku vs SJK Akatemia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TPS Turku edged past SJK Akatemia 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; TPS Turku found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, TPS Turku had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for TPS Turku and 0.50 for SJK Akatemia.

What was the final score of TPS Turku vs SJK Akatemia?

TPS Turku 1-0 SJK Akatemia in the Finland - Ykköscup on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TPS Turku vs SJK Akatemia?

Before kick-off our model rated a TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split TPS Turku 39%, draw 28%, SJK Akatemia 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TPS Turku) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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