Excelsior vs Vitesse Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Excelsior v Vitesse — Team-Based Signals
Excelsior vs Vitesse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Excelsior
HOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Excelsior
HOL
3-1
HT 2-1
Vitesse
HOL
0-1
HT 0-0
Vitesse
HOK
Excelsior 1-3 Vitesse — Actual Match Statistics
Vitesse beat Excelsior 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Excelsior at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.
On the day, Excelsior had 67% of the ball to Vitesse's 33%, shots finished 27-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitesse led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Excelsior and 0.83 for Vitesse.
What was the final score of Excelsior vs Vitesse?
Excelsior 1-3 Vitesse in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Excelsior vs Vitesse?
Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Excelsior 59%, draw 20%, Vitesse 21%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Excelsior) went the other way.