MVV Maastricht vs Roda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
MVV Maastricht v Roda — Team-Based Signals
MVV Maastricht vs Roda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
2-1
HT 0-1
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
1-1
HT 1-0
Roda
HOL2
1-0
HT 0-0
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
MVV Maastricht 3-2 Roda — Actual Match Statistics
MVV Maastricht edged past Roda 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had MVV Maastricht as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, MVV Maastricht had 49% of the ball to Roda's 51%, shots finished 22-16, expected goals 3.52 to 1.34 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold MVV Maastricht's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for MVV Maastricht and 1.50 for Roda.
What was the final score of MVV Maastricht vs Roda?
MVV Maastricht 3-2 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for MVV Maastricht vs Roda?
Before kick-off our model rated a MVV Maastricht win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 45%, draw 23%, Roda 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MVV Maastricht), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.