Shams Azar Qazvin 1-1 Sepahan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.65
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.33
No
51%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.12
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
5.22
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
24%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
19%
+1.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
51%
Away Win
54%
-2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
39%
+10.4pp
51%
BTTS No
61%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepahan EU Bookmakers 57%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
0.43/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.45
-38% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +40%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
246 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Sepahan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
30.08.2024 Sepahan Sepahan 1-0 HT 1-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
01.06.2024 Sepahan Sepahan 4-1 HT 3-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
01.01.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 1-0 HT 1-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
POST-MATCH Shams Azar Qazvin vs Sepahan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shams Azar Qazvin and Sepahan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sepahan at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sepahan led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shams Azar Qazvin and 1.67 for Sepahan.

What was the final score of Shams Azar Qazvin vs Sepahan?

Shams Azar Qazvin 1-1 Sepahan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shams Azar Qazvin vs Sepahan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Shams Azar Qazvin 20%, draw 29%, Sepahan 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sepahan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sepahan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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